Yevgeny Prigozhin, the leader of the infamous Wagner mercenary group, decided to abandon his plan to advance on Russia’s capital, Moscow. As part of an agreement facilitated by Belarus, Prigozhin committed to withdraw the Wagner forces from Rostov, a city they had seized the previous day, and relocate to Belarus. This agreement also guaranteed that neither Prigozhin nor any of the Wagner mercenaries involved in the uprising would face prosecution in Russia, in consideration of their past service to the country.
Prigozhin’s Statement

In a public statement, Prigozhin explained that his decision was driven by a desire to prevent unnecessary bloodshed among Russians. He expressed grave concern about the potential for violence and loss of life, stating that the situation had reached a critical juncture where blood could be shed. Therefore, he directed his forces to abandon their march on Moscow and return to their camps.
The Impact on Southern Military District (SMD)
The withdrawal of Wagner forces led to a significant shift in the balance of power in Rostov. They had taken control of the Southern Military District (SMD) headquarters in the city earlier in the week, but following Prigozhin’s orders, they retreated from this strategic location. This dramatic about-face was captured in photos of Prigozhin leaving the SMD headquarters.

Belarus’s Role
News of Prigozhin’s change of heart was first announced by the press office of Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko. Lukashenko claimed credit for defusing the situation, stating that he had successfully brokered a deal with Prigozhin after discussions with Russian President Vladimir Putin. Lukashenko also said that Putin thanked him for his efforts in resolving the crisis.

Putin’s Response
Putin has remained silent on Lukashenko’s claims about his role in the negotiations with Prigozhin. Earlier on the day of the uprising, Putin had made an emergency broadcast to the nation, calling for unity in the face of the mutiny, which he likened to the 1917 revolution. He warned that any internal revolt posed a grave danger to the nation.
Concluding Remarks
The Wagner rebellion marks a critical juncture in the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine. The events of the day have underscored the precarious balance of power within Russia’s leadership and military ranks, dealt a significant blow to Putin’s authority, and potentially opened up new opportunities for Ukraine. However, the long-term implications of this upheaval remain to be seen.